Lumber Price Risk Management: Build a Playbook (Not a Perfect Forecast)

Lumber Price Risk Management for Independent Lumber Dealers

Lumber volatility doesn't just change replacement costs. It changes how confidently we quote, buy, stock, and promote. The reality we manage includes uncertainty tied to housing starts, interest rates, and mill curtailments.need to. Independent lumber yards compete by winning the jobs where service, expertise, and reliability matter more than "everyday low price." That's most pro work.

The goal isn't predicting the next move; it’s building operating rules that protect gross margin and cash flow when prices move fast.

Step 1: Define Your Guardrails

Risk shows up in multiple places. We recommend setting three specific guardrails:

  • Gross margin dollars per unit (not just percentages).
  • Inventory exposure (dollars at risk by SKU/category).
  • Quote exposure (open quotes and contract commitments).

Step 2: Tighten Your Pricing Cadence

Static price lists create silent margin leakage. We should standardize price update frequencies—daily for top volatile items and weekly for stable lines.

  • Gross margin dollars per unit (not just percentages).
  • Inventory exposure (dollars at risk by SKU/category).
  • Quote exposure (open quotes and contract commitments).

Step 3: Segment Your Inventory

Stock can protect us or trap us. Use inventory discipline to reduce commodity risk by segmenting inventory into "core turns" versus "opportunistic buys." We must track aged commodity inventory weekly to ensure "deal inventory" doesn't become a long-term drag.

Step 4: Reframe Customer Conversations

Builders want speed, but we need flexibility. We suggest using short quote windows on commodity-heavy packages and clear escalation language for extended lead times.

Your 30-Day Risk Management Upgrade:

  • Update quote terms and expiration rules.
  • Increase pricing cadence on top volatile SKUs.
  • Cap commodity exposure by category.

Stop guessing and start operating. Explore how LBM Advantage market intelligence keeps independents competitive when the market gets noisy. [Access Market Intelligence Resources]

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Kathleen O'Neill

In her role as Director of Risk Management, Kathleen O’Neill leads efforts to mitigate risks and ensure financial stability for the co-op. Her responsibilities include overseeing member credit and reload inventory levels, assessing the financial health of prospective members, and managing key financial instruments such as futures and swaps. With over 18 years of experience at LBM Advantage, Kathy brings a wealth of expertise in accounting, finance, and a comprehensive understanding of the co-op's operations. Her deep industry knowledge and strategic approach position her to play a pivotal role in safeguarding the financial health and long-term success of the organization.

Rodline Smith

Rodline Smith brings over a decade of accounting and leadership experience to LBM Advantage, playing a key role in upholding the company’s commitment to excellence in fiscal management. Before joining LBM Advantage, she served as Controller at AdWeek in New York City, where she developed expertise in navigating complex accounting environments. At LBM Advantage, she oversees all accounting functions, leading a team of accountants, specialists, and supervisors. In addition to managing audits, preparing and analyzing financial reports, and ensuring compliance with regulatory standards, Smith works closely with Chief Financial Officer Rich Kennealy to implement strategic financial initiatives that drive the company’s growth and operational efficiency.

Rich Kennealy

With over 25 years of experience in finance and operations, Rich Kennealy most recently served as Vice President of Product Finance and Analytics at Kaseya, a leading IT and security management software provider. Throughout his career, he has held executive roles at renowned organizations, including Red Hat, Qlik, Inc., and IBM, where he played a pivotal role in driving financial strategy and operational efficiency. Rich holds a Bachelor of Science in Environmental Engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) and an MBA from Carnegie Mellon University.

Rob Andren

Rob Andren brings nearly 25 years of IT expertise and a decade of leadership experience to LBM Advantage, where he plays a key role in advancing the cooperative’s technology strategy. Before joining LBM Advantage, Rob served as Software Engineering Manager at Sunbird Software, where he led development teams in creating innovative solutions for data center infrastructure management. Prior to that, he was the Director of Information Technology at EXSIF Worldwide, overseeing global IT operations, infrastructure, and security for one of the world’s largest tank container leasing companies. Throughout his career, he has specialized in software development, IT strategy, cybersecurity, and process automation, driving efficiency and innovation within organizations. His expertise in leading cross-functional teams and implementing cutting-edge technologies has made him a valuable asset in optimizing business operations. Andren holds a Master of Science in Technology Management from Columbia University.

Joe Burlison

Joe Burlison is the Vice President of Southwest Operations at LBM Advantage, bringing decades of experience in the lumber and building materials industry. After earning a Bachelor of Administration from Baylor University, Joe began his career in retail lumber management before transitioning to Louisiana Pacific, where he oversaw mill sales and distribution in Houston, TX. His expertise in lumber futures grew during his time in a major energy company’s hedge program, leading to a 20-year tenure as a Southwest Regional Manager for a large building cooperative. A key driver of member acquisition and market expansion, Joe’s deep knowledge of the South-Central and Texas markets plays a vital role in LBM Advantage’s growth in the Southwest and beyond.

Making an Appointment

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Once you’ve sent the meeting request, the recipient will receive an email like this. To accept or deny the meeting the recipient will be brought back to the virtual attendee hub solidify their decision.

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    Covid-19 Response

    June 25, 2020 – Update

    The impact of COVID-19 continues to be felt by individuals and communities around the country. We hope our industry partners are faring well. In accordance with state and local requirements, Advantage has taken steps to protect the safety of its employees. 

    Currently no more than 40% of staff is working in our offices at one time, with the rest working remotely. Additionally, if outside visits are necessary, they will be scheduled by appointment only.

    General employee business travel has been suspended, but limited essential travel is permitted for our Member Sales team.

    There continues to be no disruption to daily business activity, and communication to traders and support staff remains seamless. We will continue to post updates as this situation continues to evolve.

    Kellianne Lundgren

    Kellianne Lundgren is the Human Resources Director at LBM Advantage, bringing 16 years of HR experience with expertise in recruitment, employee relations, performance management, and compliance. She is dedicated to fostering a positive workplace culture that encourages collaboration, growth, and continuous learning. Kellianne began her HR career in healthcare before joining ENAP as HR Manager. In 2020, she was promoted to HR Director. Kellianne holds a Bachelor’s in Business and an MBA from Mount Saint Mary College, along with PHR and SHRM-CP certifications.

    Tim Johnson

    Tim Johnson is the Vice President of Forest Products at LBM Advantage, based in the North Carolina office. With over three decades in the building supply industry, he brings extensive experience in sales, operations, and business development. Tim began his career in 1991 with Front Royal Environmental Services, managing construction projects as an N.C. Licensed General Contractor. In 1997, he joined Moore-Handley, where he successfully tripled sales in Eastern North Carolina. In 2003, Tim joined IBSA, a cooperative buying group, and held various leadership roles before becoming President & CEO in 2011. Under his leadership, IBSA thrived, culminating in its successful 2017 merger with LBM Advantage.

    Bob Carson

    Bob Carson is Vice President, Southern Operations. Carson is considered a veteran of the lumber and building materials industry, having worked in it for over 39 years. He began his career in 1974 at Howard’s Home Care Center as a buyer. Shortly after, he was hired by Allied Building Stores Inc. (ABS) as Merchandising Manager. Carson had a successful career at ABS where he held several progressive positions such as: Vice President Building Material Development, Vice President Operations, Executive Vice President and Vice President of Strategic Planning. In 2009, he opened his own lumber wholesale company. Carson joined ENAP as Vice President in January 2012, while their new office was opening in Monroe, Louisiana, to help establish growth in the Southern territory. He currently oversees LBM Avantage’s Monroe office and development in the region. Carson received a bachelor’s degree in Business Management from University of Louisiana at Monroe.

    Glenn Canino

    Glenn Canino is Director of LBM Advantage’s Building Products Division. He facilitates daily operational and sales function among LBM Advantage’s four regional offices, as well as helping to spearhead the company’s overall growth initiatives. Canino has over thirty years of industry experience with a multi-faceted background that includes home construction, corporate finance and sales. He has been with LBM Advantage since 2003, initially working in the Hardlines/Specialties Department, then overseeing the Kitchen and Bath department. Canino became manager of the Millwork group in 2009 and then Director of Building Products in 2018. Canino holds a bachelor’s degree in Business Administration, focused in Finance with concentrations in Financial Analysis and Real Estate from California State University, Fullerton.

    Dave DeJoy

    Dave DeJoy became LBM Advantage's President & CEO on August 19, 2024. Prior to that, he served as the cooperative’s Chief Financial Officer since 2021. Dave began his career at IBM in 1990 working in the accounting department for IBM Asia Pacific in Rye Brook NY. Over the next three decades, he held various roles at IBM in accounting, finance, sales operations, marketing, and human resources, with the majority of his career in sales operations, supporting IBM’s software sales teams. Most recently, Dave served as Director of Sales Operations for IBM’s Worldwide Cloud and Cognitive Software division. In that role, Dave was instrumental in providing direction into business success through pipeline metrics, forecasting, and resource planning on a global level. Dave holds a bachelor’s degree in Finance and Managerial Accounting from Pace University and an MBA in Finance from Fordham University.

    Tom Molloy

    Tom Molloy serves as the Executive Vice President of Products & Programs at LBM Advantage. A highly respected industry veteran, he brings over 30 years of experience in the lumber and building materials cooperative sector. With deep expertise across all facets of a buying group cooperative—including retail operations, supplier relations, sales, and marketing—Tom is known for his strategic leadership and industry insight. His career began at ENAP in 1983, where he spent 14 years in the Building Materials Division, holding key leadership roles such as Vice President/Manager of Building Products and Vice President of Sales. In 1997, he joined Do-It-Best Corporation as Division Manager for Pro Sales–Lumber and Building Products. After nearly a decade, he returned to ENAP Inc., where he continued to build on his extensive industry experience. In his current role, Tom oversees all aspects of LBM Advantage’s Building Products Division, ensuring continued growth and success. He holds a bachelor’s degree in Business Administration and Marketing from the State University of New York at Oswego.

    Stephen Sallah

    Stephen J. Sallah retired as President & CEO of LBM Advantage on August 18, 2024. Sallah joined ENAP in 2008 as Chief Financial Officer and began serving as President & CEO in January of 2011. Prior to ENAP, Sallah worked at IBM for sixteen years. He began at IBM as an engineer and worked in various operational roles in Poughkeepsie, NY and Burlington, VT. After spending five years in semiconductor pricing and program management, Sallah spent ten years as division controller for the Software Group in Somers, NY. His last assignment was as program manager for the IBM Software Group supporting the group general manager in Mergers and Acquisitions. Sallah began his career in the U.S. Navy. He served as a Nuclear Engineer and Submarine Officer on the USS Norfolk out of Norfolk, VA; a fast attack Los Angeles Class Submarine. He served a total of seven years of active duty and completed his service in the Naval Reserves, retiring in 2004 as a Commander. Sallah received a bachelor’s degree in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Massachusetts at Amherst and his M.B.A. from Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration.
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    Service Charge Schedule

    Advantage’s primary revenue source is derived from charging the member a percentage of the gross invoice amount based on the categories below. This service charge will appear on the transmittal unless the program is either deferred or non-adder.

    • Deferred:
      The service charge for deferred adder programs will be deducted from quarterly rebate statements and will not appear on transmittals. The service charge amount is set at 1% and a line item on the statement lists the amount being deducted. Each member has the option of declining the deferred adder and will be charged the 1% service charge on the transmittal.

    • Non-Adder:
      The service charge for these programs is not charged to the member.
    • Fixed Service Charge:
      A number of programs have a fixed service charge, regardless of the invoice amount.
    • Sliding Scale:
      If the program does not fall into the categories above, the charge will be applied per the following schedule:
    $0
    to
    		   $2,500: 3%
    $2,501
    to
    		 $40,000: 1%
            $40,001 and above is capped at $400